2012 Presidential Election Contest
Pit your political prediction skills against the pundits!
Think you know how all 50 states will swing in this year's presidential election? Take a shot at predicting the electoral votes. Click each grey state below to choose Republican or Democrat. We're releasing new states every day, so check back often to have your vote heard.
Unallocated Electoral Votes:
Top 10 Predictors
Swing State Release Schedule
Swing-state voting is opened according to schedule below starting with lower-valued states and finishing up with Florida, the most "swingy" state in the Union.
The voting window for > hasn't opened yet.
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*Points are based on how "swingy" a state has been over the last 5 election cycles.
Our scoring system* looks at each state's swing behavior over the last 5 elections:
- States like California that always vote the same way (5/5 Democrat) get the lowest swing value of 1
- States like Arkansas that swing a lot (3/5 Republican) get the highest swing value of 3
- States get bonus points for 'straying from their norm' over the last 3 elections:
- In the last 3 elections, Arkansas voted Republican all 3 times, so it gets no bonus points
- However, Iowa gets bonus points because it has switched parties twice over the last 3 elections
- A perfect score in this contest is: 106 points
- Tiebreakers favor users who cast their votes closest in time to when each state was opened up for voting
- The Top 5 winners will be featured in upcoming issues on our Headlines pages
*Thanks to user @bennythedroid for coming up with this system!
There are 7 different scoring "buckets" for correctly predicting whether a state will swing Democrat or Republican in the presidential election.